Renewables v. Fossil Fuels

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$2 Trillion Dollars has been spent since 2011 on wind and solar across the world. That only returned 3% of all energy worldwide up from 0.5%. That means $60 Trillion dollars would get the world to about 1/3 "clean energy" or about 3 years of all GDP in the USA. 

A wind mill has 34.8 % efficiency.

A solar panel has 24.5% efficiency.

Nearly 70% of "renewables" are not sustainable. 

If that doesn't get your ears perked up then maybe a 10x multiple of current minerals are needed to make the components for a single solar panel.

There is a 5 -7 degree increase at solar farms i.e. "solar heat inland effect." So much for not warming the Earth, right? 

 

3 Billion people "live" off $2.50 a day.

80% of the world or 6 BILLION PEOPLE live off less than $10.00/day

 

California will continue to have millions of people living in the dark because of rolling blackouts as they cannot increase supply when demand is needed. With electricity supply approaching 50% from ONLY wind and solar - the future will only get worse. 

In the 1950s a household was considered wealthy if they had one vehicle and a color television. Today most homes have 3 vehicles, 4 televisions, 4 mobile phones, 4 computers/tables, 10 kitchen devices, 6 bathroom amenities, not to mention AC, water heater, that need stable and affordable electricity.

 

 

Poverty:

 

  

In 1875 74% of income was spent on food, clothes, and shelter. By 1995 it was 13%. 

In the late 1800s/early 1900s 53% of people were in farming to produce enough food to live.

There has been a 95% drop in climate related death. 

Today it's 3% ; abundant food is a result of the combustible engine which doesn't work without FOSSIL FUELS. 

Clean water - 4 billion people don't have access to it in the world because they don't have electricity to run pumps. 

The average human lives 3 x longer than in the 1800s because of access to food, water, housing, and medicine. 

20% of a barrel of oil are used for non-transportation related products that people use everyday for quality of life from toothbrushes to detergent. That's 20 million barrels a day for life sustaining supplies 

Medical supplies, pharmaceuticals, and daily living products are NOT possible without oil and gas based products. The List is below !

 

 

OPEC, War, and Politics:

 

 

13 Million Barrels of Oil (pre-covid) and 107 Billion Cubic Feet of Natural Gas are produced everyday in the USA. 

4 Million Barrels of Oil are exported each day making the USA a net exporter.

The USA is no longer dependent upon OPEC; changing the geo-political risk for the entire world. Less global military intervention. 

Wars in the Middle East are less likely as our domestic need is met at home. 

Peace deals have been signed and more are in development. 

There is $40 Trillion in recoverable hydrocarbons below USA government lands and waterways. (A royalty of 25% would cut our debt in half and 50% would eliminate it). Our resources could end our deficit. 

 

 

 

 

Commerce

 

 

Don't forget the 1 Billion + vehicles in the world (out of 7.9 Billion people) with 280 million vehicles, 200,000 airplanes, 17 million boats and 3 TRILLION miles driven every year in the USA alone. 

450,000 motorcycles purchased each year and the 60,000 ships that make it possible cruising the high seas. 

You couldn't get your favorite mobile phones, electronics, clothes, etc. if the ships didn't sail. 

 

 

 

Electricity:

 

 

63% of electricity is from fossil fuels.

20% of electricity is from nuclear.

17% of electricity is from renewables. 

Heating and cooling account for 55-60% of electricity usage.

Natural Gas is used to heat 76% of homes and commercial properties.

Average household uses 855 kw/month 

There are about 130 million households in the USA.

10,100,000 megawatts are demanded on average  - everyday  - in the USA.

3.7 Trillion  kilowatts were demanded in 2019 alone. 

Each American (330 million) consumes about 30 kw everyday.

National average household price is 13.0 cents/kw therefore $111/month.

EV's (Electrical Vehicles) will require an additional 200kw/month in "fuel."

 A person's electric bill would increase by 23% assuming the rate holds @ 13.0 cents/kw.

Moreover, 2,300,000 MW in new capacity would be needed to meet the demand need for just one EV at each household. 

600 Million people in Africa don't have electricity where the majority of the 17 metals for solar are mined !

 

 

"Renewable:"

 

 

European Union electricity costs have increased 3x because of it's "green initiatives."  A gallon of gasoline is $5.80

A single electric-car battery weighs about 1,000 pounds and requires 500,000 lbs of raw materials to be moved.

EV's now weigh 500 + lbs MORE than other vehicles on the roads. 

More than 90% of the world’s solar panels are built in Asia on coal-heavy electric grids. 121 gigawatts worth which is more than every other country's coal plants COMBINED

China and India have over 10,000 coal fired power plants.

Building one wind turbine requires 900 tons of steel, 2,500 tons of concrete and 45 tons of non-recyclable plastic.

Solar power requires even more cement, steel, glass, & land. 

Global silver and indium mining will jump 250% and 1,200% respectively over the next couple of decades to provide the materials necessary to meet expected solar "demand."

Lithium, cobalt, manganese, are heavily used in batteries. The most abundant source is "mined" from brine water. 

These mines are located in child labor driven countries.

That means finding more "water sources" depleting reservoirs. 

Oil and Gas Produced water i.e. brine/salt water is produced at a 4x - 6x rate for each barrel of oil. There's lithium in FRACKING ! 

To meet the additional 7.8 million MW/day to charge all EVs (assuming all vehicles replaced with EVs) there would need to be an additional 9,750 natural gas power plants. (800 MW/ plant/day)

A solar panel averages 4 lbs/sqft with a cost of $2.91/watt or $2,910/kw

So a home with a 12kw systems would cost $34,900

Roof's would need to be covered completely with panels and most older homes wouldn't suffice due to weight. 

 

 

Land  and Home Use:

 

 

One Marcellus Natural Gas Well Pad:

1,000 cubic feet of natural gas = 1 kilowatt

5 acres 

12MMcf/day = 12,000 kw (12 MW)

2400 kw/acre

                                                    

One 2 MW Wind Turbine:

5 acres

34.8% operation (wind doesn't always blow y'all)  = 696 kw

139.20 kw/acre      

  

One 2MW Solar Farm:

8 acres 

24.5% operation (sun doesn't always shine y'all) = 490 kw

8,000 panels & batteries (@ 250 watts/panel)                                      

61.25 kw/acre

 

12000kw Home per year (i.e 2,000 sqft home):

365 days = 32.8 kw/day

9.6 kw system (5 hours of sun and 0.8 derate factor i.e DC to AC)

$27,936 cost of panels and install. 

$7.500 in batteries (15kwh x $500) or 3 day supply. 

$35,436 total system cost (38 panels @ 250 w/each)   

$140 mo/bill ($0.14 cents/kw) x 12 months = $1,680

35,436/$1,680 = 21.0

21 years to recover the cost of the system of which will have to be repaid again as the panels would now need to be replaced. 

 

 

 EV " Fuel:"

 

 

Don't forget the need for an additional 7.9  million kw/day to "fuel" the EVs so an additional 79 BILLION cubic feet/day in NEW natural gas production to feed the power plants. 

That would be 25% increase from current consumption levels in the USA of 89 bcf/day. 

15-20 Bcf is exported to countries as LNG to help meet their energy needs thereby reducing supply for adversarial counties.  

Building enough wind turbines to supply half the world’s electricity would require nearly two billion tons of coal to produce the concrete and steel, along with two billion barrels of oil to make the composite blades. 

 

 

Fighting COVID with Oil and Gas:

 

(Photo Credit : Cabot Oil and Gas)

 

Plexiglass (acrylic) is MADE from Oil.

Goggles i.e. plastic (polyurethane) is MADE from Natural Gas.

Don't forget the medical gloves, IVs, IV bags, medicine, etc to treat it.

 

 

 

 6,000 everyday products are made from Fossil Fuels and 56 are below.

 

 

Clothing Ink Heart Valves Crayons
Parachutes Telephones Antiseptics Deodorant
Pantyhose Rubbing Alcohol Carpets Hearing Aids
Motorcycle helmets Pillows Shoes Electrical tape
Safety glass Nylon rope Fertilizers Hair coloring
Toilet seats Candles Credit cards Aspirin
Golf balls Detergents Sunglasses Glue
Fishing rods Linoleum Soft contact lenses Trash bags
Hand lotion Shampoo Shaving cream Footballs
Paint brushes Balloons Fan belts Umbrellas
Luggage Antifreeze Tires Dishwashing liquids
Toothbrushes Toothpaste Combs Tents
Lipstick Tennis rackets House paint Guitar strings
Ammonia Eyeglasses Ice chests Life jackets
Cameras Artificial turf Artificial Limbs Bandages
Dentures Ballpoint pens Nail polish Caulking
Skis Fishing lures Perfumes Shoe polish
Antihistamines Cortisone Dyes Roofing

 

 



Just how much land would be taken to make "green pastures" for solar and wind? 

 

What about EVERYDAY items that we need to LIVE that don't happen without fossil fuels?

 

Think we can "transition" over 140 years of life creating and sustaining fossil fuels, jobs, infrastructure, etc. in under 10 years?